SC Braga vs Gent: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between SC Braga and Gent on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Gent travel to SC Braga on 22 October 2026. SC Braga are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This league stage 2 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as SC Braga - Gent. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
SC Braga: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 35th on a goal difference of -3.
Gent: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 2 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 0.33 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | SC Braga | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 35th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 8 | 9 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 0.83 | 1.5 / 0.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.83 | 2.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.2 | 35.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: SC Braga 24.2 versus Gent 35.2, a gap of 11.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 22 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans SC Braga's way at 68%.
The call
The model does not commit. SC Braga is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. Gent's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SC Braga or Gent?
SC Braga, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% SC Braga, 44% the draw and 11% Gent.
When and where is SC Braga vs Gent being played?
22 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have SC Braga and Gent met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Gent?
SC Braga have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Gent 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently SC Braga took a 0-3 defeat away at FC Copenhagen and Gent a 1-0 win at home to Aarhus.
How many goals are expected in SC Braga vs Gent?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for SC Braga and 1.20 for Gent. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.