FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 46% for FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Copenhagen travel to FK Crvena Zvezda on 22 October 2026 at Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 46%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This league stage 2 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as FK Crvena Zvezda - FC Copenhagen. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FK Crvena Zvezda: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 4 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 0.67 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -1.
FC Copenhagen: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 5 conceded in eight matches, 3.12 and 0.62 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | FK Crvena Zvezda | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 4 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 0.67 | 3.12 / 0.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.17 | 3.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 35.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FK Crvena Zvezda 24.8 versus FC Copenhagen 35.8, a gap of 11.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 22 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans FK Crvena Zvezda's way at 64%.
The call
The model edges towards a draw at 46%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FK Crvena Zvezda or FC Copenhagen?
Neither side. Our model splits it 39% FK Crvena Zvezda, 46% the draw and 15% FC Copenhagen, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen being played?
22 October 2026 at Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Have FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen?
FK Crvena Zvezda have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), FC Copenhagen 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently FK Crvena Zvezda took a 2-3 defeat away at FC Lugano and FC Copenhagen a 3-0 win at home to SC Braga.
How many goals are expected in FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.00 for FC Copenhagen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.