Getafe vs Brighton — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Brighton the pick at 50% for Getafe vs Brighton. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Getafe face Brighton on 5 November 2026 at Coliseum, Getafe. Brighton are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as Getafe - Brighton. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Getafe: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 36 conceded in 34 matches, 0.82 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 30th on a goal difference of -3.
Brighton: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 45 conceded in 34 matches, 1.35 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Getafe | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 30th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDD | WDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 13 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 34 | 34 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.82 / 1.06 | 1.35 / 1.32 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.6 | 39.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Getafe 27.6 versus Brighton 39.3, a gap of 11.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 21 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Brighton's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Brighton at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Getafe or Brighton?
Brighton, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 22% Getafe, 28% the draw and 50% Brighton.
When and where is Getafe vs Brighton being played?
5 November 2026 at Coliseum, Getafe, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Getafe and Brighton met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Getafe and Brighton?
Getafe have taken 5 points from their last five (WLLDD), Brighton 8 from theirs (WDLDW). Most recently Getafe took a 3-2 win away at Lebrijana and Brighton a 1-0 win away at Manchester City.
How many goals are expected in Getafe vs Brighton?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for Getafe and 1.60 for Brighton. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.