Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Panathinaikos travel to Kairat Almaty on 22 October 2026 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Panathinaikos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This league stage 2 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as Kairat Almaty - Panathinaikos. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kairat Almaty: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 37 conceded in 16 matches, 0.69 and 2.31 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of 0.
Panathinaikos: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 32 conceded in 30 matches, 1.07 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kairat Almaty | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 11th |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLW | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 8 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.69 / 2.31 | 1.07 / 1.07 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.25 | 1.3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.3 | 35.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 8% | 47% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Kairat Almaty 28.3 versus Panathinaikos 35.2, a gap of 6.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 7% and both teams to score at 31%.
- First goal: Leans Panathinaikos' way at 66%.
The call
The model does not commit. Panathinaikos is the nominal pick at 47%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kairat Almaty or Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 8% Kairat Almaty, 45% the draw and 47% Panathinaikos.
When and where is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos being played?
22 October 2026 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos?
Kairat Almaty have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLLW), Panathinaikos 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Kairat Almaty took a 1-1 draw away at Riga and Panathinaikos a 2-1 win at home to Borac Banja Luka.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.80 for Kairat Almaty and 0.60 for Panathinaikos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 7%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 31%, so its call is no.