KuPS vs Gent — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes KuPS the pick at 42% for KuPS vs Gent. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
KuPS host Gent on 5 November 2026 at Tammelan Stadion, Tampere. KuPS are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as KuPS - Gent. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
KuPS: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.0 out of 100, and they sit 34th on a goal difference of -4.
Gent: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 4 conceded in eight matches, 1.62 and 0.5 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | KuPS | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 34th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWL | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.62 / 0.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 2.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.0 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: KuPS 24.0 versus Gent 34.8, a gap of 10.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 17 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans KuPS's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards KuPS at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Gent's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts KuPS's way, especially at Tammelan Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: KuPS or Gent?
KuPS, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% KuPS, 24% the draw and 33% Gent.
When and where is KuPS vs Gent being played?
5 November 2026 at Tammelan Stadion, Tampere, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have KuPS and Gent met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of KuPS and Gent?
KuPS have taken 5 points from their last five (DDLWL), Gent 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently KuPS took a 1-1 draw at home to Gnistan and Gent a 4-0 win at home to Anderlecht.
How many goals are expected in KuPS vs Gent?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for KuPS and 1.80 for Gent. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.