Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Lincoln Red Imps FC face Twente on 22 October 2026 at Europa Point Stadium. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This league stage 2 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as Lincoln Red Imps FC - Twente. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Lincoln Red Imps FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Across those four they scored eight and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 27th on a goal difference of -1.
Twente: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 27th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDW | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 3 | 14 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 35.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 9% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Lincoln Red Imps FC 24.8 versus Twente 35.2, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.93, over 2.5 goals at 12% and both teams to score at 30%.
- First goal: Leans Twente's way at 64%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 47%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lincoln Red Imps FC or Twente?
Neither side. Our model splits it 9% Lincoln Red Imps FC, 47% the draw and 45% Twente, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente being played?
22 October 2026 at Europa Point Stadium, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente?
Lincoln Red Imps FC have taken 7 points from their last four (LWDW), Twente 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Lincoln Red Imps FC took a 1-2 defeat away at Brann and Twente a 1-0 win at home to FC Thun.
How many goals are expected in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.93 — 0.33 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1.60 for Twente. It rates over 2.5 goals at 12%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 30%, so its call is no.