St. Truiden vs Brann: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes St. Truiden the pick at 45% for St. Truiden vs Brann. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
St. Truiden face Brann on 5 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. St. Truiden are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as St. Truiden - Brann. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
St. Truiden: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Brann: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (45 scored and 41 conceded in 23 matches, 1.96 and 1.78 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | St. Truiden | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | WLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 8 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.5 | 1.96 / 1.78 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.8 | 46.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 66%.
- First goal: Leans St. Truiden's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to St. Truiden at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts St. Truiden's way, especially at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St. Truiden or Brann?
St. Truiden, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% St. Truiden, 22% the draw and 32% Brann.
When and where is St. Truiden vs Brann being played?
5 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have St. Truiden and Brann met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and Brann?
St. Truiden have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), Brann 9 from theirs (WLWLW). Most recently St. Truiden took a 2-3 defeat away at Club Brugge KV and Brann a 2-0 win away at Grorud.
How many goals are expected in St. Truiden vs Brann?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for St. Truiden and 1.60 for Brann. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 66%, so its call is yes.