FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Heart Of Midlothian travel to FC Thun on 5 November 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun. FC Thun are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as FC Thun - Heart Of Midlothian. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Thun: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 22 conceded in ten matches, 1.2 and 2.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.5 out of 100, and they sit 32nd on a goal difference of -2.
Heart Of Midlothian: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 30 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 2.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.8 out of 100, and they sit 28th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Thun | Heart Of Midlothian |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 32nd | 28th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | DWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 5 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.38 / 2.31 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.5 | 27.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Thun 24.5 versus Heart Of Midlothian 27.8, a gap of 3.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans FC Thun's way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. FC Thun is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Thun's way, especially at Stockhorn Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Thun or Heart Of Midlothian?
FC Thun, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% FC Thun, 25% the draw and 35% Heart Of Midlothian.
When and where is FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian being played?
5 November 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian?
FC Thun have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Heart Of Midlothian 4 from theirs (DWLL). Most recently FC Thun took a 2-3 defeat at home to FC Lugano and Heart Of Midlothian a 2-2 draw at home to Rangers.
How many goals are expected in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.80 for FC Thun and 1.20 for Heart Of Midlothian. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.