Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model makes Trabzonspor the pick at 45% for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Trabzonspor face SC Freiburg on 5 November 2026 at Papara Park, Trabzon. Trabzonspor are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as Trabzonspor - SC Freiburg. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Trabzonspor: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 17 matches, 1.65 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
SC Freiburg: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (66 scored and 65 conceded in 45 matches, 1.47 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Trabzonspor | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 5 | 7 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 45 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.65 / 1.47 | 1.47 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.65 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 34.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Trabzonspor 46.0 versus SC Freiburg 34.5, a gap of 11.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans SC Freiburg's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Trabzonspor at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Trabzonspor's way, especially at Papara Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Trabzonspor or SC Freiburg?
Trabzonspor, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Trabzonspor, 22% the draw and 34% SC Freiburg.
When and where is Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg being played?
5 November 2026 at Papara Park, Trabzon, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg?
Trabzonspor have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), SC Freiburg 6 from theirs (WWLLL). Most recently Trabzonspor took a 4-3 win away at Rizespor and SC Freiburg a 2-1 win away at FC Augsburg.
How many goals are expected in Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.20 for Trabzonspor and 1.40 for SC Freiburg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.