Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model makes Universitatea Craiova the pick at 72% for Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Universitatea Craiova face Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 5 November 2026 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova. Universitatea Craiova are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 72%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa Conference League is listed as Universitatea Craiova - Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Universitatea Craiova: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.7 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Universitatea Craiova | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 20th |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWD | WLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 3 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 31.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 72% | 9% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Universitatea Craiova 38.8 versus Egnatia Rrogozhinë 31.7, a gap of 7.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Universitatea Craiova's way at 74%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Universitatea Craiova at 72%, a gap of 53 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Universitatea Craiova's way, especially at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Universitatea Craiova or Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Universitatea Craiova, with an implied win probability of roughly 72%. The full split is 72% Universitatea Craiova, 19% the draw and 9% Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
When and where is Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë being played?
5 November 2026 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Universitatea Craiova and Egnatia Rrogozhinë met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Universitatea Craiova and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Universitatea Craiova have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWWD), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 8 from theirs (WLDWD). Most recently Universitatea Craiova took a 1-1 draw away at FC Voluntari and Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 1-0 win at home to Teuta Durrës.
How many goals are expected in Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 3.00 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.00 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.