Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Melbourne Victory the pick at 63% for Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Persib Bandung travel to Melbourne Victory on 4 November 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne. Melbourne Victory are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This group stage 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Two is listed as Melbourne Victory - Persib Bandung. Kick-off is 07:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Melbourne Victory: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +1.
Persib Bandung: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Melbourne Victory | Persib Bandung |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 6 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.6 | 66.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Melbourne Victory 38.6 versus Persib Bandung 66.0, a gap of 27.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Melbourne Victory's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Melbourne Victory at 63%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. Persib Bandung's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Melbourne Victory's way, especially at AAMI Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Melbourne Victory or Persib Bandung?
Melbourne Victory, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Melbourne Victory, 20% the draw and 17% Persib Bandung.
When and where is Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung being played?
4 November 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne, kick-off 07:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Melbourne Victory and Persib Bandung?
Persib Bandung 2-0 Melbourne Victory on 28 October 2026.
What is the recent form of Melbourne Victory and Persib Bandung?
Melbourne Victory have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Persib Bandung 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Melbourne Victory took a 0-2 defeat away at Persib Bandung and Persib Bandung a 2-0 win at home to Melbourne Victory.
How many goals are expected in Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.80 for Melbourne Victory and 2.00 for Persib Bandung. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.