VPS vs Inter Turku — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between VPS and Inter Turku on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
VPS host Inter Turku on 24 October 2026 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Jyväskylä. Inter Turku are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This championship group 29 fixture in Veikkausliiga is listed as VPS - Inter Turku. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
VPS: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored one and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Inter Turku: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | VPS | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +7 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | LWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 11 | 4 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.8 | 61.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: VPS 36.8 versus Inter Turku 61.6, a gap of 24.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.93, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans VPS's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Inter Turku is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Inter Turku's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VPS or Inter Turku?
Inter Turku, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 35% VPS, 27% the draw and 38% Inter Turku.
When and where is VPS vs Inter Turku being played?
24 October 2026 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Jyväskylä, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between VPS and Inter Turku?
Inter Turku 1-0 VPS on 14 September 2026.
What is the recent form of VPS and Inter Turku?
VPS have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Inter Turku 10 from theirs (LWDWW). Most recently VPS took a 0-2 defeat away at KuPS and Inter Turku a 1-2 defeat at home to AC Oulu.
How many goals are expected in VPS vs Inter Turku?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.93 — 0.33 for VPS and 1.60 for Inter Turku. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.