AC Oulu vs KuPS match summary and prediction — Veikkausliiga
There is barely anything between AC Oulu and KuPS on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
AC Oulu face KuPS on 1 November 2026 at OTC Stadion, Oulu. AC Oulu are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This championship group 31 fixture in Veikkausliiga is listed as AC Oulu - KuPS. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
AC Oulu: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of 0.
KuPS: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.4 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | AC Oulu | KuPS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 1st |
| Goal difference | 0 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLW | DDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 8 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.3 | 45.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: AC Oulu 58.3 versus KuPS 45.4, a gap of 12.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.25, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans AC Oulu's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. AC Oulu is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. AC Oulu's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts AC Oulu's way, especially at OTC Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AC Oulu or KuPS?
AC Oulu, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% AC Oulu, 28% the draw and 35% KuPS.
When and where is AC Oulu vs KuPS being played?
1 November 2026 at OTC Stadion, Oulu, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have AC Oulu and KuPS met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AC Oulu and KuPS?
AC Oulu have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWLW), KuPS 5 from theirs (DDLWL). Most recently AC Oulu took a 0-0 draw at home to VPS and KuPS a 1-1 draw at home to Gnistan.
How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs KuPS?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.25 — 1.25 for AC Oulu and 1.00 for KuPS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.