VPS vs HJK Helsinki match summary and prediction — Veikkausliiga
There is barely anything between VPS and HJK Helsinki on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
HJK Helsinki travel to VPS on 2 November 2026 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa. VPS are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This championship group 31 fixture in Veikkausliiga is listed as VPS - HJK Helsinki. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
VPS: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored one and conceded nine, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
HJK Helsinki: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 20 and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | VPS | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +7 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWL | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 9 | 20 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.1 | 70.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: VPS 40.1 versus HJK Helsinki 70.6, a gap of 30.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans VPS's way at 45%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. VPS is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. HJK Helsinki's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts VPS's way, especially at Lemonsoft Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: VPS or HJK Helsinki?
VPS, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 36% VPS, 28% the draw and 36% HJK Helsinki.
When and where is VPS vs HJK Helsinki being played?
2 November 2026 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have VPS and HJK Helsinki met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of VPS and HJK Helsinki?
VPS have taken 4 points from their last five (DLLWL), HJK Helsinki 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently VPS took a 0-0 draw away at AC Oulu and HJK Helsinki a 4-2 win away at Inter Turku.
How many goals are expected in VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.20 for VPS and 1.60 for HJK Helsinki. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.