Gnistan vs VPS — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Gnistan the pick at 45% for Gnistan vs VPS. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Gnistan host VPS on 8 November 2026 at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki. Gnistan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This championship group 32 fixture in Veikkausliiga is listed as Gnistan - VPS. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Gnistan: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
VPS: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored one and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Gnistan | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +7 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | LDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 14 | 1 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.1 | 40.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Gnistan 30.1 versus VPS 40.1, a gap of 10.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Gnistan's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Gnistan at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gnistan's way, especially at Markku.fi Areena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gnistan or VPS?
Gnistan, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Gnistan, 28% the draw and 27% VPS.
When and where is Gnistan vs VPS being played?
8 November 2026 at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Gnistan and VPS met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gnistan and VPS?
Gnistan have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), VPS 4 from theirs (LDLLW). Most recently Gnistan took a 3-4 defeat away at Inter Turku and VPS a 0-4 defeat at home to HJK Helsinki.
How many goals are expected in Gnistan vs VPS?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 2.00 for Gnistan and 0.00 for VPS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.