Häcken W vs Chelsea W match summary and prediction — UEFA Champions League Women
Our model makes Häcken W the pick at 44% for Häcken W vs Chelsea W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Häcken W face Chelsea W on 10 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena. Häcken W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Champions League Women is listed as Häcken W - Chelsea W. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Häcken W: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 19 and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -4.
Chelsea W: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 20 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Häcken W | Chelsea W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 19 / 3 | 20 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.3 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Häcken W 27.3 versus Chelsea W 49.1, a gap of 21.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 6.40, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Häcken W's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Häcken W at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Häcken W's way, especially at Nordic Wellness Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Häcken W or Chelsea W?
Häcken W, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Häcken W, 19% the draw and 37% Chelsea W.
When and where is Häcken W vs Chelsea W being played?
10 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have Häcken W and Chelsea W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Häcken W and Chelsea W?
Häcken W have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Chelsea W 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Häcken W took a 4-1 win at home to Kristianstad W and Chelsea W a 6-0 win away at Charlton Athletic W.
How many goals are expected in Häcken W vs Chelsea W?
The model's combined scoring line is 6.40 — 2.80 for Häcken W and 3.60 for Chelsea W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.