Häcken W vs Manchester City W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Häcken W the pick at 47% for Häcken W vs Manchester City W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Manchester City W travel to Häcken W on 18 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena. Häcken W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This league stage 5 fixture in UEFA Champions League Women is listed as Häcken W - Manchester City W. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Häcken W: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 5 conceded in eight matches, 2.0 and 0.62 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Manchester City W: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 2.67 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Häcken W | Manchester City W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWDW | WWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 0.62 | 2.67 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 2.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Häcken W 30.7 versus Manchester City W 45.8, a gap of 15.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Häcken W's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Häcken W at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Häcken W's way, especially at Nordic Wellness Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Häcken W or Manchester City W?
Häcken W, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Häcken W, 23% the draw and 30% Manchester City W.
When and where is Häcken W vs Manchester City W being played?
18 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have Häcken W and Manchester City W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Häcken W and Manchester City W?
Häcken W have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWDW), Manchester City W 11 from theirs (WWWDD). Most recently Häcken W took a 0-0 draw at home to Chelsea W and Manchester City W a 4-1 win away at Inter Milano W.
How many goals are expected in Häcken W vs Manchester City W?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.60 for Häcken W and 2.60 for Manchester City W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.