Paris Saint Germain W vs Bayern Munich W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Paris Saint Germain W and Bayern Munich W on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Paris Saint Germain W host Bayern Munich W on 10 November 2026 at Paris Saint-Germain Training Center, Poissy. Bayern Munich W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Champions League Women is listed as Paris Saint Germain W - Bayern Munich W. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Paris Saint Germain W: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +5.
Bayern Munich W: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Paris Saint Germain W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLW | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 14 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.9 | 42.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 41% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Bayern Munich W's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Bayern Munich W is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Paris Saint Germain W or Bayern Munich W?
Bayern Munich W, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 36% Paris Saint Germain W, 24% the draw and 41% Bayern Munich W.
When and where is Paris Saint Germain W vs Bayern Munich W being played?
10 November 2026 at Paris Saint-Germain Training Center, Poissy, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Paris Saint Germain W and Bayern Munich W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint Germain W and Bayern Munich W?
Paris Saint Germain W have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWLW), Bayern Munich W 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Paris Saint Germain W took a 1-1 draw away at Paris FC W and Bayern Munich W a 1-0 win at home to Bayer Leverkusen W.
How many goals are expected in Paris Saint Germain W vs Bayern Munich W?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 1.80 for Paris Saint Germain W and 3.20 for Bayern Munich W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.