Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the pick at 49% for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Borussia Mönchengladbach face Karlsruher SC on 27 October 2026 at Borussia-Park. Borussia Mönchengladbach are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This round of 32 fixture in DFB Pokal is listed as Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher SC. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Borussia Mönchengladbach: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 51 conceded in 30 matches, 1.23 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Karlsruher SC: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 28 conceded in 14 matches, 1.5 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.23 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 27% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Borussia Mönchengladbach's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Borussia Mönchengladbach at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Karlsruher SC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Borussia Mönchengladbach's way, especially at Borussia-Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Borussia Mönchengladbach or Karlsruher SC?
Borussia Mönchengladbach, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 24% the draw and 27% Karlsruher SC.
When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC being played?
27 October 2026 at Borussia-Park, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC?
Borussia Mönchengladbach have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Karlsruher SC 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Borussia Mönchengladbach took a 1-2 defeat at home to 1899 Hoffenheim and Karlsruher SC a 4-0 win at home to SV Darmstadt 98.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.80 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.80 for Karlsruher SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.