Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt match summary and prediction — DFB Pokal
Our model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the pick at 51% for Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hamburger SV host Eintracht Frankfurt on 27 October 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg. Eintracht Frankfurt are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This round of 32 fixture in DFB Pokal is listed as Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hamburger SV: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 50 conceded in 30 matches, 1.2 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Eintracht Frankfurt: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 94 conceded in 43 matches, 1.63 and 2.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hamburger SV | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 10 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 43 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.2 / 1.67 | 1.63 / 2.19 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 51% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Eintracht Frankfurt's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Eintracht Frankfurt at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hamburger SV or Eintracht Frankfurt?
Eintracht Frankfurt, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 23% Hamburger SV, 26% the draw and 51% Eintracht Frankfurt.
When and where is Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt being played?
27 October 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt?
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburger SV on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt?
Hamburger SV have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Eintracht Frankfurt 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Hamburger SV took a 1-0 win at home to VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt a 1-0 win at home to 1. FC Köln.
How many goals are expected in Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Hamburger SV and 1.60 for Eintracht Frankfurt. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.