Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes RB Leipzig the pick at 50% for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
RB Leipzig travel to Rot-Weiß Essen on 27 October 2026 at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen. RB Leipzig are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This round of 32 fixture in DFB Pokal is listed as Rot-Weiß Essen - RB Leipzig. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Rot-Weiß Essen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 37 conceded in 20 matches, 2.1 and 1.85 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
RB Leipzig: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (60 scored and 38 conceded in 30 matches, 2.0 and 1.27 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rot-Weiß Essen | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDDD | LLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 9 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.1 / 1.85 | 2.0 / 1.27 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 50% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans RB Leipzig's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to RB Leipzig at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Rot-Weiß Essen's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rot-Weiß Essen or RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 29% Rot-Weiß Essen, 21% the draw and 50% RB Leipzig.
When and where is Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig being played?
27 October 2026 at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig?
Rot-Weiß Essen have taken 6 points from their last five (LWDDD), RB Leipzig 6 from theirs (LLWWL). Most recently Rot-Weiß Essen took a 0-1 defeat away at FC Ingolstadt 04 and RB Leipzig a 1-4 defeat away at Real Madrid.
How many goals are expected in Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 2.00 for RB Leipzig. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.