ES Tunis vs Asswehly match summary and prediction — CAF Champions League
Our model makes ES Tunis the pick at 52% for ES Tunis vs Asswehly. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Asswehly travel to ES Tunis on 24 October 2026 at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. ES Tunis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This 2nd preliminary round fixture in CAF Champions League is listed as ES Tunis - Asswehly. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
ES Tunis: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Asswehly: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | ES Tunis | Asswehly |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | WWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 6 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 18% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans ES Tunis' way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to ES Tunis at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts ES Tunis's way, especially at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ES Tunis or Asswehly?
ES Tunis, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% ES Tunis, 30% the draw and 18% Asswehly.
When and where is ES Tunis vs Asswehly being played?
24 October 2026 at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have ES Tunis and Asswehly met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of ES Tunis and Asswehly?
ES Tunis have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), Asswehly 11 from theirs (WWWDD). Most recently ES Tunis took a 0-1 defeat away at Asswehly and Asswehly a 1-0 win at home to ES Tunis.
How many goals are expected in ES Tunis vs Asswehly?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.20 for ES Tunis and 1.35 for Asswehly. It rates over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.