Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian match summary and prediction — League Cup
Our model makes Heart Of Midlothian the pick at 47% for Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hibernian travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 1 November 2026 at Hampden Park, Glasgow. Heart Of Midlothian are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This semi finals fixture in League Cup is listed as Heart Of Midlothian - Hibernian. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Heart Of Midlothian: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 30 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 2.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Hibernian: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.2 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Heart Of Midlothian | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLD | DLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 12 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 13 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 2.31 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.08 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 24% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 3 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Heart Of Midlothian three wins, Hibernian none wins, none draws — an edge to Heart Of Midlothian.
- Most recent meeting: Hibernian 1-3 Heart Of Midlothian on 03 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — broadly an average game for goals.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Heart Of Midlothian's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Heart Of Midlothian at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Heart Of Midlothian's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Heart Of Midlothian's way, especially at Hampden Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Heart Of Midlothian or Hibernian?
Heart Of Midlothian, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Heart Of Midlothian, 29% the draw and 24% Hibernian.
When and where is Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian being played?
1 November 2026 at Hampden Park, Glasgow, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Heart Of Midlothian and Hibernian?
Hibernian 1-3 Heart Of Midlothian on 03 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Heart Of Midlothian and Hibernian?
Heart Of Midlothian have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLLD), Hibernian 2 from theirs (DLLLD). Most recently Heart Of Midlothian took a 2-2 draw at home to Rangers and Hibernian a 1-1 draw away at ST Mirren.
How many goals are expected in Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.20 for Hibernian. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.