Rangers vs Aberdeen: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rangers the pick at 69% for Rangers vs Aberdeen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Aberdeen travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026 at Hampden Park, Glasgow. Rangers are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 69%. This semi finals fixture in League Cup is listed as Rangers - Aberdeen. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rangers: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 8 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 0.89 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Aberdeen: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in eight matches, 1.12 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rangers | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWW | LLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.78 / 0.89 | 1.12 / 1.38 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.89 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 69% | 10% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Rangers two wins, Aberdeen none wins, none draws — an edge to Rangers.
- Most recent meeting: Rangers 4-1 Aberdeen on 21 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Rangers' way at 70%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Rangers at 69%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. Rangers' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rangers's way, especially at Hampden Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rangers or Aberdeen?
Rangers, with an implied win probability of roughly 69%. The full split is 69% Rangers, 21% the draw and 10% Aberdeen.
When and where is Rangers vs Aberdeen being played?
31 October 2026 at Hampden Park, Glasgow, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Rangers and Aberdeen?
Rangers 4-1 Aberdeen on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Rangers and Aberdeen?
Rangers have taken 11 points from their last five (DWDWW), Aberdeen 6 from theirs (LLWLW). Most recently Rangers took a 2-2 draw away at Heart Of Midlothian and Aberdeen a 0-1 defeat at home to Falkirk.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs Aberdeen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.20 for Rangers and 1.40 for Aberdeen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.