Macara vs Barcelona SC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Macara the pick at 53% for Macara vs Barcelona SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Macara host Barcelona SC on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato. Macara are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This championship group 5 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Macara - Barcelona SC. Kick-off is 21:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Macara: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 34 conceded in 31 matches, 1.26 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +8.
Barcelona SC: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 34 conceded in 34 matches, 1.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Macara | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 6th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WDLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 31 | 34 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.26 / 1.1 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.0 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 22% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Macara two wins, Barcelona SC none wins, none draws — an edge to Macara.
- Most recent meeting: Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara on 09 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Macara 57.0 versus Barcelona SC 53.4, a gap of 3.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Macara's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Macara at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Macara's way, especially at Estadio Bellavista.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Macara or Barcelona SC?
Macara, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Macara, 25% the draw and 22% Barcelona SC.
When and where is Macara vs Barcelona SC being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Macara and Barcelona SC?
Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara on 09 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Macara and Barcelona SC?
Macara have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Barcelona SC 6 from theirs (WDLDD). Most recently Macara took a 2-1 win away at LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC a 4-0 win away at Aucas.
How many goals are expected in Macara vs Barcelona SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.60 for Macara and 1.80 for Barcelona SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.