Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Deportivo Cuenca the pick at 46% for Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Manta FC face Deportivo Cuenca on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Jocay, Manta. Deportivo Cuenca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This relegation group 4 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Manta FC - Deportivo Cuenca. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Manta FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 34 conceded in 26 matches, 0.58 and 1.31 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -25.
Deportivo Cuenca: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 34 conceded in 30 matches, 0.93 and 1.13 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Manta FC | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -25 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDL | WDDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 6 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.58 / 1.31 | 0.93 / 1.13 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.65 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.1 | 38.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 46% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Manta FC one win, Deportivo Cuenca one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Manta FC on 11 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Manta FC 32.1 versus Deportivo Cuenca 38.7, a gap of 6.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Cuenca's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Deportivo Cuenca at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Manta FC or Deportivo Cuenca?
Deportivo Cuenca, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 28% Manta FC, 25% the draw and 46% Deportivo Cuenca.
When and where is Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Jocay, Manta, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca?
Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Manta FC on 11 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca?
Manta FC have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWDL), Deportivo Cuenca 6 from theirs (WDDDL). Most recently Manta FC took a 2-4 defeat away at Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca a 2-1 win at home to Tecnico Universitario.
How many goals are expected in Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.40 for Manta FC and 0.60 for Deportivo Cuenca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.