Orense SC vs Delfin SC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Orense SC the pick at 46% for Orense SC vs Delfin SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Orense SC face Delfin SC on 24 October 2026 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Orense SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This relegation group 4 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Orense SC - Delfin SC. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Orense SC: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 33 conceded in 23 matches, 1.26 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -11.
Delfin SC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 25 conceded in 24 matches, 0.71 and 1.04 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Orense SC | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLW | WWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 11 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.26 / 1.43 | 0.71 / 1.04 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.2 | 35.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 25% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Orense SC none wins, Delfin SC none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Delfin SC 1-1 Orense SC on 09 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Orense SC 32.2 versus Delfin SC 35.3, a gap of 3.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Orense SC's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Orense SC at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Delfin SC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Orense SC's way, especially at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Orense SC or Delfin SC?
Orense SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Orense SC, 29% the draw and 25% Delfin SC.
When and where is Orense SC vs Delfin SC being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Orense SC and Delfin SC?
Delfin SC 1-1 Orense SC on 09 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Orense SC and Delfin SC?
Orense SC have taken 5 points from their last five (DDLLW), Delfin SC 11 from theirs (WWDWD). Most recently Orense SC took a 1-1 draw away at Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC a 4-2 win at home to Manta FC.
How many goals are expected in Orense SC vs Delfin SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Orense SC and 1.60 for Delfin SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.