Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Delfin SC the pick at 46% for Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Delfin SC host Deportivo Cuenca on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Jocay, Manta. Delfin SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This relegation group 5 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Delfin SC - Deportivo Cuenca. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Delfin SC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 29 conceded in 25 matches, 0.68 and 1.16 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -12.
Deportivo Cuenca: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 34 conceded in 31 matches, 0.97 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWD | WWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 12 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.68 / 1.16 | 0.97 / 1.1 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 38.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Delfin SC 35.3 versus Deportivo Cuenca 38.7, a gap of 3.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Delfin SC's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Delfin SC at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Deportivo Cuenca's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Delfin SC's way, especially at Estadio Jocay.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Delfin SC or Deportivo Cuenca?
Delfin SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Delfin SC, 25% the draw and 30% Deportivo Cuenca.
When and where is Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Jocay, Manta, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca?
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Delfin SC on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca?
Delfin SC have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWWD), Deportivo Cuenca 9 from theirs (WWDDD). Most recently Delfin SC took a 0-3 defeat at home to Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca a 2-0 win away at Manta FC.
How many goals are expected in Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Delfin SC and 1.00 for Deportivo Cuenca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.