Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Mushuc Runa SC the pick at 44% for Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mushuc Runa SC face Manta FC on 3 November 2026 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato. Mushuc Runa SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This relegation group 5 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Mushuc Runa SC - Manta FC. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Mushuc Runa SC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 35 conceded in 24 matches, 1.08 and 1.46 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Manta FC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 36 conceded in 27 matches, 0.56 and 1.33 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -25.
Side by side
| Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -25 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDL | LLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.08 / 1.46 | 0.56 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.08 | 0.63 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.2 | 32.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 25% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Mushuc Runa SC two wins, Manta FC none wins, none draws — an edge to Mushuc Runa SC.
- Most recent meeting: Manta FC 1-2 Mushuc Runa SC on 01 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Mushuc Runa SC 44.2 versus Manta FC 32.1, a gap of 12.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Mushuc Runa SC's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Mushuc Runa SC at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Mushuc Runa SC's way, especially at Estadio Bellavista.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mushuc Runa SC or Manta FC?
Mushuc Runa SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Mushuc Runa SC, 31% the draw and 25% Manta FC.
When and where is Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC being played?
3 November 2026 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC?
Manta FC 1-2 Mushuc Runa SC on 01 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC?
Mushuc Runa SC have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLDL), Manta FC 7 from theirs (LLWWD). Most recently Mushuc Runa SC took a 0-3 defeat away at Tecnico Universitario and Manta FC a 0-2 defeat at home to Deportivo Cuenca.
How many goals are expected in Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.40 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.00 for Manta FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.