Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Deportivo Cuenca the pick at 43% for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Cuenca face Orense SC on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This relegation group 6 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Deportivo Cuenca - Orense SC. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Deportivo Cuenca: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 37 conceded in 32 matches, 0.97 and 1.16 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
Orense SC: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 34 conceded in 25 matches, 1.36 and 1.36 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Deportivo Cuenca | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDD | DWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 7 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 32 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.97 / 1.16 | 1.36 / 1.36 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.7 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Cuenca 38.7 versus Orense SC 32.2, a gap of 6.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Cuenca's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Deportivo Cuenca at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Deportivo Cuenca's way, especially at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Cuenca or Orense SC?
Deportivo Cuenca, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Deportivo Cuenca, 30% the draw and 27% Orense SC.
When and where is Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC?
Deportivo Cuenca 1-3 Orense SC on 22 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC?
Deportivo Cuenca have taken 8 points from their last five (LWWDD), Orense SC 6 from theirs (DWDDL). Most recently Deportivo Cuenca took a 1-3 defeat away at Delfin SC and Orense SC a 1-1 draw at home to Tecnico Universitario.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.00 for Orense SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.