Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad match summary and prediction — Liga Pro
Our model makes Guayaquil City FC the pick at 43% for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Libertad travel to Guayaquil City FC on 1 November 2026. Guayaquil City FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This placement group 5 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Guayaquil City FC - Libertad. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Guayaquil City FC: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 26 conceded in 24 matches, 1.0 and 1.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -3.
Libertad: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 34 conceded in 27 matches, 1.15 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Guayaquil City FC | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDW | LWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 8 | 12 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.08 | 1.15 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.2 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Guayaquil City FC 54.2 versus Libertad 48.1, a gap of 6.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Guayaquil City FC's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Guayaquil City FC at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Guayaquil City FC or Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Guayaquil City FC, 25% the draw and 32% Libertad.
When and where is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad being played?
1 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Guayaquil City FC and Libertad?
Libertad 0-1 Guayaquil City FC on 21 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Guayaquil City FC and Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWDW), Libertad 9 from theirs (LWWWL). Most recently Guayaquil City FC took a 1-0 win away at Emelec and Libertad a 1-4 defeat away at Leones del Norte.
How many goals are expected in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.20 for Libertad. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.