Belize vs Sint Maarten match summary and prediction — CONCACAF Nations League
Our model makes Belize the pick at 45% for Belize vs Sint Maarten. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sint Maarten travel to Belize on 17 November 2026. Belize are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This league b 4 fixture in CONCACAF Nations League is listed as Belize - Sint Maarten. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Belize: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored two and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sint Maarten: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Belize | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWL | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 7 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Belize's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Belize at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Belize or Sint Maarten?
Belize, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Belize, 24% the draw and 31% Sint Maarten.
When and where is Belize vs Sint Maarten being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Belize and Sint Maarten met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Belize and Sint Maarten?
Belize have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Sint Maarten 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Belize took a 0-1 defeat away at French Guyana and Sint Maarten a 5-1 win at home to Anguilla.
How many goals are expected in Belize vs Sint Maarten?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Belize and 1.35 for Sint Maarten. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.