Dominica vs Cayman Islands match summary and prediction — CONCACAF Nations League
Our model makes Dominica the pick at 59% for Dominica vs Cayman Islands. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dominica face Cayman Islands on 17 November 2026. Dominica are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This league b 1 fixture in CONCACAF Nations League is listed as Dominica - Cayman Islands. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dominica: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded 15, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Cayman Islands: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored no and conceded twelve, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dominica | Cayman Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDW | LLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 15 | 0 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 18% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Dominica's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Dominica at 59%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dominica or Cayman Islands?
Dominica, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Dominica, 23% the draw and 18% Cayman Islands.
When and where is Dominica vs Cayman Islands being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Dominica and Cayman Islands met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dominica and Cayman Islands?
Dominica have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLDW), Cayman Islands 1 from theirs (LLLLD). Most recently Dominica took a 1-8 defeat away at Guyana and Cayman Islands a 0-6 defeat at home to Guyana.
How many goals are expected in Dominica vs Cayman Islands?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 1.35 for Dominica and 0.00 for Cayman Islands. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.