St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire match summary and prediction — CONCACAF Nations League
Our model makes St. Kitts and Nevis the pick at 69% for St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
St. Kitts and Nevis face Bonaire on 17 November 2026. St. Kitts and Nevis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 69%. This league b 3 fixture in CONCACAF Nations League is listed as St. Kitts and Nevis - Bonaire. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
St. Kitts and Nevis: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Bonaire: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded 15, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | St. Kitts and Nevis | Bonaire |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 8 | 8 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 69% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans St. Kitts and Nevis' way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards St. Kitts and Nevis at 69%, a gap of 52 percentage points to the next outcome. St. Kitts and Nevis' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St. Kitts and Nevis or Bonaire?
St. Kitts and Nevis, with an implied win probability of roughly 69%. The full split is 69% St. Kitts and Nevis, 17% the draw and 14% Bonaire.
When and where is St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have St. Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St. Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire?
St. Kitts and Nevis have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), Bonaire 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently St. Kitts and Nevis took a 2-2 draw away at Cuba and Bonaire a 1-7 defeat at home to Cuba.
How many goals are expected in St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for St. Kitts and Nevis and 1.00 for Bonaire. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.