St. Lucia vs Barbados: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes St. Lucia the pick at 47% for St. Lucia vs Barbados. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
St. Lucia host Barbados on 17 November 2026. St. Lucia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This league b 2 fixture in CONCACAF Nations League is listed as St. Lucia - Barbados. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
St. Lucia: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded ten, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Barbados: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | St. Lucia | Barbados |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLL | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 10 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans St. Lucia's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to St. Lucia at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St. Lucia or Barbados?
St. Lucia, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% St. Lucia, 25% the draw and 28% Barbados.
When and where is St. Lucia vs Barbados being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have St. Lucia and Barbados met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St. Lucia and Barbados?
St. Lucia have taken 9 points from their last five (WWWLL), Barbados 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently St. Lucia took a 1-0 win away at Guadeloupe and Barbados a 0-3 defeat at home to Guadeloupe.
How many goals are expected in St. Lucia vs Barbados?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 1.35 for St. Lucia and 0.00 for Barbados. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.