Qatar vs Australia: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Australia the pick at 42% for Qatar vs Australia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Australia travel to Qatar on 13 November 2026 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha. Australia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Qatar - Australia. Kick-off is 14:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Qatar: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Australia: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Qatar | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWL | LDDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 42% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Australia's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Australia at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Qatar's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Qatar or Australia?
Australia, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 26% Qatar, 31% the draw and 42% Australia.
When and where is Qatar vs Australia being played?
13 November 2026 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha, kick-off 14:45 UTC.
Have Qatar and Australia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Qatar and Australia?
Qatar have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWWL), Australia 3 from theirs (LDDDL). Most recently Qatar took a 0-0 draw away at Saudi Arabia and Australia a 2-4 defeat at home to Brazil.
How many goals are expected in Qatar vs Australia?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.40 for Qatar and 0.80 for Australia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.