Japan vs Brazil — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Japan and Brazil on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Brazil travel to Japan on 14 November 2026 at National Stadium, Kallang. Brazil are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Japan - Brazil. Kick-off is 10:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Japan: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 5 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 0.71 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Brazil: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 9 conceded in eight matches, 2.38 and 1.12 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Japan | Brazil |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWL | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.57 / 0.71 | 2.38 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Japan's way at 47%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Brazil is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Japan or Brazil?
Brazil, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 35% Japan, 28% the draw and 38% Brazil.
When and where is Japan vs Brazil being played?
14 November 2026 at National Stadium, Kallang, kick-off 10:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Japan and Brazil?
Brazil 2-1 Japan on 29 June 2026.
What is the recent form of Japan and Brazil?
Japan have taken 10 points from their last five (WDWWL), Brazil 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Japan took a 2-1 win at home to New Zealand and Brazil a 4-0 win away at India.
How many goals are expected in Japan vs Brazil?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Japan and 2.00 for Brazil. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.