Japan vs Paraguay match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes Japan the pick at 57% for Japan vs Paraguay. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Paraguay travel to Japan on 17 November 2026 at National Stadium, Kallang. Japan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Japan - Paraguay. Kick-off is 13:10 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Japan: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Paraguay: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Japan | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWL | WWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 4 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 16% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Japan's way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Japan at 57%, a gap of 29 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Japan's way, especially at National Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Japan or Paraguay?
Japan, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Japan, 28% the draw and 16% Paraguay.
When and where is Japan vs Paraguay being played?
17 November 2026 at National Stadium, Kallang, kick-off 13:10 UTC.
Have Japan and Paraguay met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Japan and Paraguay?
Japan have taken 10 points from their last five (WDWWL), Paraguay 8 from theirs (WWLDD). Most recently Japan took a 2-1 win at home to New Zealand and Paraguay a 1-0 win away at Colombia.
How many goals are expected in Japan vs Paraguay?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.80 for Japan and 0.75 for Paraguay. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.