Colombia vs Chile — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Colombia the pick at 59% for Colombia vs Chile. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Colombia face Chile on 14 November 2026. Colombia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Colombia - Chile. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Colombia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Chile: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Colombia | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | WLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 2 | 7 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.90, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Colombia's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Colombia at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Colombia or Chile?
Colombia, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Colombia, 24% the draw and 17% Chile.
When and where is Colombia vs Chile being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Have Colombia and Chile met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Colombia and Chile?
Colombia have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), Chile 6 from theirs (WLLWL). Most recently Colombia took a 2-0 win at home to Peru and Chile a 2-0 win away at Mexico.
How many goals are expected in Colombia vs Chile?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.90 — 1.40 for Colombia and 1.50 for Chile. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.