Chile vs Colombia match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes Colombia the pick at 47% for Chile vs Colombia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Chile face Colombia on 17 November 2026. Colombia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Chile - Colombia. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chile: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Colombia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Chile | Colombia |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWL | WLDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 4 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 47% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.90, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Colombia's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Colombia at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chile or Colombia?
Colombia, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 22% Chile, 31% the draw and 47% Colombia.
When and where is Chile vs Colombia being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Chile and Colombia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Chile and Colombia?
Chile have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLWL), Colombia 8 from theirs (WLDDW). Most recently Chile took a 2-0 win away at Mexico and Colombia a 2-0 win at home to Peru.
How many goals are expected in Chile vs Colombia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.90 — 1.50 for Chile and 1.40 for Colombia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.