Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Bahardar the pick at 42% for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Bahardar face Welwalo Adigrat Uni on 24 October 2026. Bahardar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 4 fixture in Premier League is listed as Bahardar - Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bahardar: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and one defeat from the last three, worth 4 points. Across those three they scored three and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bahardar | Welwalo Adigrat Uni |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 15th |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDL | LDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.5 | 28.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bahardar 45.5 versus Welwalo Adigrat Uni 28.3, a gap of 17.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Bahardar's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Bahardar at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Bahardar's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bahardar or Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Bahardar, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Bahardar, 32% the draw and 26% Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
When and where is Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Bahardar and Welwalo Adigrat Uni met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bahardar and Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Bahardar have taken 7 points from their last five (WLWDL), Welwalo Adigrat Uni 4 from theirs (LDW). Most recently Bahardar took a 3-1 win away at Welayta Dicha and Welwalo Adigrat Uni a 0-4 defeat at home to Al Ahli Tripoli.
How many goals are expected in Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 2.00 for Bahardar and 1.35 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.