Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Sidama Bunna the pick at 44% for Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sidama Bunna host Awassa Kenema on 24 October 2026. Sidama Bunna are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 4 fixture in Premier League is listed as Sidama Bunna - Awassa Kenema. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sidama Bunna: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and two defeats from the last three, worth 3 points. Across those three they scored three and conceded three, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -1.
Awassa Kenema: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sidama Bunna | Awassa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLW | DDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 3 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 31.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sidama Bunna 24.8 versus Awassa Kenema 31.4, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Sidama Bunna's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Sidama Bunna at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sidama Bunna or Awassa Kenema?
Sidama Bunna, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Sidama Bunna, 27% the draw and 29% Awassa Kenema.
When and where is Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Sidama Bunna and Awassa Kenema met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sidama Bunna and Awassa Kenema?
Sidama Bunna have taken 3 points from their last three (LLW), Awassa Kenema 3 from theirs (DDLLD). Most recently Sidama Bunna took a 0-2 defeat at home to Al Hilal Omdurman and Awassa Kenema a 1-1 draw at home to Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
How many goals are expected in Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Sidama Bunna and 1.35 for Awassa Kenema. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.