Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Kedus Giorgis the pick at 44% for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Kedus Giorgis host Sheger Ketema on 26 October 2026. Kedus Giorgis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 4 fixture in Premier League is listed as Kedus Giorgis - Sheger Ketema. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kedus Giorgis: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.4 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -1.
Sheger Ketema: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kedus Giorgis | Sheger Ketema |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDDW | LDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 5 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.4 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kedus Giorgis 31.4 versus Sheger Ketema 38.3, a gap of 6.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Kedus Giorgis' way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Kedus Giorgis at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Sheger Ketema's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kedus Giorgis or Sheger Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Kedus Giorgis, 27% the draw and 29% Sheger Ketema.
When and where is Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema being played?
26 October 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Kedus Giorgis and Sheger Ketema met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kedus Giorgis and Sheger Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis have taken 6 points from their last five (DLDDW), Sheger Ketema 10 from theirs (LDWWW). Most recently Kedus Giorgis took a 1-1 draw at home to Adama Kenema and Sheger Ketema a 0-1 defeat away at Mebrat Hayl.
How many goals are expected in Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Kedus Giorgis and 1.35 for Sheger Ketema. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.