Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ethiopia Bunna the pick at 44% for Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ethiopia Bunna face Adama Kenema on 31 October 2026. Ethiopia Bunna are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ethiopia Bunna - Adama Kenema. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ethiopia Bunna: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored two and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Adama Kenema: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ethiopia Bunna | Adama Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLD | LDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 6 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.0 | 41.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ethiopia Bunna 34.0 versus Adama Kenema 41.7, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Ethiopia Bunna's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Ethiopia Bunna at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ethiopia Bunna or Adama Kenema?
Ethiopia Bunna, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Ethiopia Bunna, 27% the draw and 29% Adama Kenema.
When and where is Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema being played?
31 October 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Ethiopia Bunna and Adama Kenema met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ethiopia Bunna and Adama Kenema?
Ethiopia Bunna have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWLD), Adama Kenema 8 from theirs (LDDWW). Most recently Ethiopia Bunna took a 0-1 defeat at home to Mebrat Hayl and Adama Kenema a 0-1 defeat away at Negelle Arsi.
How many goals are expected in Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.35 for Adama Kenema. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.