Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ethiopia Nigd Bank the pick at 49% for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ethiopia Nigd Bank face Ethiopian Medhin on 2 November 2026. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +2.
Ethiopian Medhin: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored four and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Ethiopian Medhin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 10th |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWD | LDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 3 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.2 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 52.2 versus Ethiopian Medhin 38.3, a gap of 13.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Ethiopia Nigd Bank's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Ethiopia Nigd Bank at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Ethiopia Nigd Bank's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ethiopia Nigd Bank or Ethiopian Medhin?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Ethiopia Nigd Bank, 28% the draw and 22% Ethiopian Medhin.
When and where is Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin being played?
2 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Ethiopian Medhin met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Ethiopian Medhin?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWWD), Ethiopian Medhin 4 from theirs (LDWL). Most recently Ethiopia Nigd Bank took a 0-0 draw away at Gamo Chencha and Ethiopian Medhin a 1-3 defeat at home to Mekelakeya.
How many goals are expected in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 2.00 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 1.35 for Ethiopian Medhin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.