Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Awassa Kenema the pick at 44% for Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Awassa Kenema host Gamo Chencha on 1 November 2026. Awassa Kenema are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as Awassa Kenema - Gamo Chencha. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Awassa Kenema: they come in on two successive draws, following two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored four and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -1.
Gamo Chencha: they come in on the back of a draw, following two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and two defeats from the last three, worth 1 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those three they scored no and conceded three, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Awassa Kenema | Gamo Chencha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLL | DLL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 0 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.4 | 27.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Awassa Kenema 31.4 versus Gamo Chencha 27.6, a gap of 3.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Awassa Kenema's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Awassa Kenema at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Awassa Kenema or Gamo Chencha?
Awassa Kenema, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Awassa Kenema, 27% the draw and 29% Gamo Chencha.
When and where is Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha being played?
1 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Awassa Kenema and Gamo Chencha met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Awassa Kenema and Gamo Chencha?
Awassa Kenema have taken 2 points from their last four (DDLL), Gamo Chencha 1 from theirs (DLL). Most recently Awassa Kenema took a 1-1 draw at home to Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Gamo Chencha a 0-0 draw at home to Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
How many goals are expected in Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Awassa Kenema and 1.35 for Gamo Chencha. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.