Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Mekelakeya the pick at 42% for Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sidama Bunna host Mekelakeya on 1 November 2026. Mekelakeya are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as Sidama Bunna - Mekelakeya. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sidama Bunna: they come in on back-to-back defeats. That is no wins, no draws and two defeats from the last two, worth 0 points. Across those two they scored no and conceded four, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -1.
Mekelakeya: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sidama Bunna | Mekelakeya |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LL | WWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 4 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 42% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sidama Bunna 24.8 versus Mekelakeya 55.8, a gap of 31.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 16 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Mekelakeya's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Mekelakeya at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Mekelakeya's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sidama Bunna or Mekelakeya?
Mekelakeya, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 30% Sidama Bunna, 28% the draw and 42% Mekelakeya.
When and where is Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya being played?
1 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Sidama Bunna and Mekelakeya met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sidama Bunna and Mekelakeya?
Sidama Bunna have taken 0 points from their last two (LL), Mekelakeya 10 from theirs (WWLWD). Most recently Sidama Bunna took a 0-2 defeat away at Al Hilal Omdurman and Mekelakeya a 3-1 win away at Ethiopian Medhin.
How many goals are expected in Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 1.35 for Sidama Bunna and 0.00 for Mekelakeya. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.