Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Waalwijk the pick at 58% for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Barendrecht host Waalwijk on 27 October 2026 at Sports Centre de Bongerd. Waalwijk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This round of 64 fixture in KNVB Beker is listed as Barendrecht - Waalwijk. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Barendrecht: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Waalwijk: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Barendrecht | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWW | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 8 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 58% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.15, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Waalwijk's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Waalwijk at 58%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. Barendrecht's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Barendrecht or Waalwijk?
Waalwijk, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 22% Barendrecht, 20% the draw and 58% Waalwijk.
When and where is Barendrecht vs Waalwijk being played?
27 October 2026 at Sports Centre de Bongerd, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Barendrecht and Waalwijk met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Barendrecht and Waalwijk?
Barendrecht have taken 12 points from their last five (WLWWW), Waalwijk 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently Barendrecht took a 4-1 win at home to AFC Amsterdam and Waalwijk a 1-1 draw at home to FC Volendam.
How many goals are expected in Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.15 — 1.35 for Barendrecht and 1.80 for Waalwijk. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.