Groningen vs Emmen match summary and prediction — KNVB Beker
Our model makes Groningen the pick at 43% for Groningen vs Emmen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Groningen face Emmen on 29 October 2026 at Euroborg, Groningen. Groningen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This round of 64 fixture in KNVB Beker is listed as Groningen - Emmen. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Groningen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 21 conceded in 16 matches, 1.25 and 1.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Emmen: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 29 conceded in 15 matches, 1.2 and 1.93 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Groningen | Emmen |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDD | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 9 | 9 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.25 / 1.31 | 1.2 / 1.93 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.19 | 0.93 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 35% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 65%.
- First goal: Leans Groningen's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Groningen at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Groningen's way, especially at Euroborg.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Groningen or Emmen?
Groningen, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Groningen, 22% the draw and 35% Emmen.
When and where is Groningen vs Emmen being played?
29 October 2026 at Euroborg, Groningen, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Groningen and Emmen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Emmen?
Groningen have taken 8 points from their last five (LWWDD), Emmen 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently Groningen took a 2-5 defeat at home to Ajax and Emmen a 2-0 win away at Vitesse.
How many goals are expected in Groningen vs Emmen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for Groningen and 2.00 for Emmen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 65%, so its call is yes.