Helmond Sport vs Willem II: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Helmond Sport the pick at 50% for Helmond Sport vs Willem II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Helmond Sport host Willem II on 27 October 2026 at MySteel Stadion, Helmond. Helmond Sport are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This round of 64 fixture in KNVB Beker is listed as Helmond Sport - Willem II. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Helmond Sport: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 0.76 and 1.53 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Willem II: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 19 conceded in 18 matches, 1.83 and 1.06 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Helmond Sport | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | LLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 5 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.76 / 1.53 | 1.83 / 1.06 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.88 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Helmond Sport's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Helmond Sport at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Helmond Sport's way, especially at MySteel Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Helmond Sport or Willem II?
Helmond Sport, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Helmond Sport, 21% the draw and 29% Willem II.
When and where is Helmond Sport vs Willem II being played?
27 October 2026 at MySteel Stadion, Helmond, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Helmond Sport and Willem II?
Helmond Sport 2-2 Willem II on 21 December 2025.
What is the recent form of Helmond Sport and Willem II?
Helmond Sport have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Willem II 1 from theirs (LLLLD). Most recently Helmond Sport took a 0-2 defeat at home to NAC Breda and Willem II a 2-3 defeat away at Sparta Rotterdam.
How many goals are expected in Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for Helmond Sport and 1.00 for Willem II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.